Books

• Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor, Eds. 2025. City Politics in Canada: Forty Years of Continuity and Change. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack. 2024. Ideology in Canadian Municipal Politics. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
  • Winner, 2024 Seymour Martin Lipset Best Book Award, APSA Canadian Section.
• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor, Eds. 2021. Big City Elections in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack. 2016. Fields of Authority: Special Purpose Governance in Ontario, 1815-2015. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.

Articles and Chapters

Forthcoming

• Borwein, Sophie, Jack Lucas, and Bradley Wood-MacLean. Forthcoming. “Place Consciousness and Voting in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science.
• Dias, Nicholas, Jack Lucas, and Lior Sheffer. Forthcoming. “Beyond the Mean: How Thinking About The Distribution of Public Attitudes Reduces Politicians’ Perceptual Errors.” Political Science Research and Methods. // Data and Replication Files
• Ferland, Benjamin and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Mass-Elite Congruence in Canada: A Study of Federal Candidates.” Canadian Journal of Political Science.
• Lucas, Jack, Lior Sheffer, and Noam Titelman. Forthcoming. “Do Politicians’ Errors in Understanding Public Opinion Persist When They Encounter Individual Constituents?” American Political Science Review.
• Vanhooren, Shanaya, Jack Lucas, and Sandra Breux. Forthcoming. “Municipal Issue Publics.” Urban Affairs Review.

2026

• Lucas, Jack, Martin Horak, Shanaya Vanhooren, and David A. Armstrong II. 2026. “Geographic Proximity Dampens Ideological Policy Disagreement in Urban Politics.” Nature Cities 3 (6): 514-522. // Data and Replication Files
• Lucas, Jack. 2026. “Institutional Change as Urban Theory: The Fall of At-Large Politics in Calgary, Alberta.” Urban History Review 54(1): 37-53.
• McGregor, R. Michael, Laura Stephenson, Helen Hayes, Cameron Anderson, and Jack Lucas. 2026. “Understanding Public Support for Electoral Reform in Ontario, Canada.” Election Law Journal 25 (1): 5-18.

2025

• Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. 2025. “Place Types.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 58 (2): 380-396.
• Borwein, Sophie, Jack Lucas, Tyler Romualdi, Zack Taylor, David Armstrong, and Katie McCoy. 2025. “Urban-Rural Policy Disagreement.” European Journal of Political Research 64 (4): 1827-1848.
• Dillabough, Elliot and Jack Lucas. 2025. “Municipal Politicians and Local Electoral Institutions in Canada: An Overview.” Canadian Public Administration 68 (1): 135-146.
• Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2025. “Conclusion: Change and Continuity in Canadian City Politics.” In Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor, Eds. City Politics in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2025. “Introduction: Bringing Local Politics Back In.” In Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor, Eds. City Politics in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack. 2025. “Calgary.” In Horak, Martin, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor, Eds. City Politics in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and Lior Sheffer. 2025. “What Explains Elite Affective Polarization? Evidence from Canadian Politicians.” Political Psychology 46 (1): 71-84.
• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2025. “Municipalities in the Federation.” In Canadian Federalism: Performance, Effectiveness, and Legitimacy (5th Ed.), edited by Herman Bakvis and Grace Skogstad. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack, Lior Sheffer, and Peter Loewen. 2025. “Pathways to Political Representation: Congruence and Knowledge among Canadian Politicians.” Political Behavior 47: 1113–1132. // Data and Replication Files, Supplementary material, Short Summary
• Lucas, Jack, Lior Sheffer, Peter Loewen, Stefaan Walgrave, Karolin Soontjens, Eran Amsalem, Stefanie Bailer, Nathalie Brack, Christian Breunig, Pirmin Bundi, Linda Coufalová, Patrick Dumont, Sarah Lachance, Miguel Pereira, Mikael Persson, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Anne Rasmussen, Maj-Britt Sterba, and Frédéric Varone. 2025. “Politicians’ Theories of Voting Behavior.” American Political Science Review 119 (3): 1304-1321. // Data and Replication Files
• Lucas, Jack, Tyler Romualdi, David A. Armstrong II, and Elizabeth Goodyear-Grant. 2025. “Demographic Divides in Canadian Voting, 1945-2023: The Canadian Vote Intention Dataset.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 58 (3): 666-680. // Interactive App, R Package
• McGregor, R. Michael, Simon Kiss, Jack Lucas, and Andrea Perrella. 2025. “Where Public Health meets Public Opinion: Understanding Political Support for Fluoridation in Calgary 2021.” Canadian Journal of Public Health 116: 309–315.
• McPherson, Carter, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2025. “Issue Accountability in Non-Partisan Municipalities: A Case Study.” Urban Affairs Review. 61 (3): 932–951.

2024

• Anderson, Cameron, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2024. “Urban home values and multi-level political accountability: Evidence from Calgary, Canada.” Journal of Urban Affairs 46(5): 1053-1069.
• Anderson, Cameron, Tyler Romualdi, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2024. “Don’t Worry, Be Happy (and the Vote Out the Incumbent): Economic Anxiety and Incumbent Support.” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties 35 (4): 573-597.
• Armstrong, David A. II, and Jack Lucas. 2024. “The Structure of Municipal Voting in Vancouver.” Journal of Urban Affairs 46 (7): 1412-1433.
• Artiles, Alexandra, Sandra Breux, Meagan Cloutier, Susan Franceschet, and Jack Lucas. 2024. “Women’s Representation in Canadian Municipalities.” Urban Affairs Review 60 (5): 1577–1593.
• Borwein, Sophie, Jack Lucas, and Cameron Anderson. 2024. “Lay Theories of Place Effects.” Political Psychology 45 (6): 1069-1086.
• Franceschet, Susan, Jack Lucas, and Erica Rayment. 2024. “Do Women Politicians Know More about Women’s Policy Preferences? Evidence from Canada.” Politics & Gender 20 (3): 579-597.
• Hiller, Harry, Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. 2024. “Why Do Local Residents Oppose Olympic Bids? An Electoral Perspective from Calgary 2026.” Event Management 28 (5): 749-761.
• Lucas, Jack. 2024. “Are Municipal Politicians Ideological Moderates?” Cities 155 (12). // Preprint, Short Summary
• Lucas, Jack. 2024. “Who Votes for Incumbent Councillors?” In Political Engagement in Canadian City Elections, edited by R. Michael McGregor and Laura Stephenson. Montreal and Kingston: McGill-Queen’s University Press.
• Lucas, Jack, Lior Sheffer, and Peter Loewen. 2024. “Are Politicians Democratic Realists?” European Journal of Political Research 63 (4): 1426-1444. // Supplementary Material, Data and Replication Files
• McGregor, R. Michael and Jack Lucas. 2024. “Ballot roll-off in the 2021 Alberta Senate nominee election.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 57 (3): 553-565.
• McGregor, R. Michael, Jack Lucas, Chris Erl, and Cameron Anderson. 2024. “Understanding Support for Municipal Political Parties: Evidence from Canada.” Urban Affairs Review 60 (5): 1382–1410.
• McLaren, Lindsay, Rogelio Velez Mendoza, and Jack Lucas. 2024. “Priorities and Concerns of Provincial Governments: An Historical Public Health Landscape.” In A History of Public Health in Alberta, 1919-2019, edited by Lindsay McLaren, Don Juzwishin, and Rogelio Velez Mendoza. Calgary: University of Calgary Press.
• Sheffer, Lior, Peter Loewen, and Jack Lucas. 2024. “Long-Term Policymaking and Politicians’ Beliefs about Voters: Evidence from a Three-Year Panel Survey of Politicians.” Governance 37(2): 395-410. // Supplementary Material, Data and replication files
• Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, David A. Armstrong II, and Ryan Bakker. 2024. “The Development of the Urban-Rural Cleavage in Anglo-American Democracies.” Comparative Political Studies 57 (8): 1339-1374. // Supplementary Material , Data and Replication Files

2023

• Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Municipal Identity and City Interests.” Political Behavior. 45(3): 831-853. // Supplementary Material , Data and Replication Files
• Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Asymmetries in Urban, Suburban, and Rural Place-Based Resentment.” Political Geography (105): 1-10.
• Breton, Charles, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2023. “Local Autonomy: Unconditional Elites and Conditional Publics.” Local Government Studies 49 (6): 1263-1284.
• Conrad, Laura and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Women’s Inclusion and Participation in Municipal Elections: Historical Evidence from Eligible Voters Lists.” Urban History Review. 51 (1): 145-153.
• Eidelman, Gabriel and Jack Lucas. 2023. “How Do Municipal Mayors and Councillors Communicate with other Levels of Government? Evidence from a Multi-level Survey of Canadian Elected Officials” Canadian Public Administration 66(1): 78-95
  • Winner, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2023 volume of Canadian Public Administration.
• Erl, Chris, R. Michael McGregor, Jack Lucas, and Cameron Anderson. 2023. “Resentment and admiration: Public opinion towards teachers and public sector employees in Ontario.” Canadian Journal of Education. 46 (3): 597-627.
• Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Aengus Bridgman. 2023. “Spatial Voting in Non-Partisan Cities: A Case Study” Electoral Studies 82 (102599): 1-12.
• Lucas, Jack. 2023. “The Ideological Structure of Municipal Non-Ideology.” Urban Affairs Review 59 (1): 275-293.
• Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, J.P. Kirby, and Christopher Hewitt. 2023. “Canada’s Federal Electoral Districts, 1867-2021: New Digital Boundary Files and a Comparative Investigation of District Compactness.” Canadian Journal of Political Science. 56(2): 451-467. , Data and Replication Files

2022

• Armstrong, David, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2022. “The Urban-Rural Divide in Canadian Federal Elections, 1896–2019.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 84-106. // Preprint Version , Supplementary Material , Short Summary
• Blidook, Kelly, Royce Koop, and Jack Lucas. 2022 “Municipal Representation Style and Focus: Evidence from Canadian Mayors and Councillors.” Representation 58 (4): 603-622.
• Franceschet, Antonio, Jack Lucas, Brenda O’Neill, Elizabeth Pando, and Melanee Thomas. 2022. “Editor Fatigue: Can Political Science Journals Increase Review Acceptance Rates?” PS: Political Science and Politics. 55 (1): 117:122. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2022 “Do ‘Non-Partisan’ Politicians Match the Partisanship of their Constituents?” Urban Affairs Review 58 (1): 103-128.
• Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Kim-Lee Tuxhorn. 2022 “Closest to the People? Incumbency Advantage and the Personal Vote in Non-Partisan Elections” Political Research Quarterly 75 (1): 188-202. // Supplementary Material , Data and replication files

2021

• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor, Eds. 2021. Big City Elections in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2021. “Introduction.” In Big City Elections in Canada, edited by Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2021. “Conclusion.” In Big City Elections in Canada, edited by Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and John Santos. 2021. “Calgary.” In Big City Elections in Canada, edited by Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and David A. Armstrong II. 2021. “Policy Ideology and Local Ideological Representation in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(4): 959-976. // Data and Replication Files , Policy Ideology Estimates for Municipalities and Federal Electoral Districts
• Lucas, Jack, Reed Merrill, Kelly Blidook, Sandra Breux, Laura Conrad, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop, Daniella Marciano, Zack Taylor, Salomé Vallette. 2021. “Women’s Municipal Electoral Performance: An Introduction to the Canadian Municipal Elections Database.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(1): 125-133. // Data and replication files , Supplementary Material
• Lucas, Jack. 2021 “The Size and Sources of Municipal Incumbency Advantage in Canada.” Urban Affairs Review. 57(2): 373-401. // Data and replication files
• McGregor, R. Michael, Cameron Anderson, Éric Bélanger, Sandra Breux, Jack Lucas, Scott Matthews, Anne Mévellec, Aaron Moore, Scott Pruysers, Laura Stephenson, and Erin Tolley. 2021. “The Canadian Municipal Election Study.” Frontiers in Political Science.

2020

• Armstrong, David, and Jack Lucas. 2020. “Measuring and Comparing Municipal Policy Responses to COVID-19.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 53(2): 227-238. // Online Appendix , Data and replication files
• Armstrong, David, Matthew Lebo, and Jack Lucas. 2020 “Do COVID-19 Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and American Cities.” Canadian Public Policy 46(2): 127-144.
• Davidson, Adrienne, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Politics and Religion: Identifying the Correlates of Support for Merging the Public and Separate School Systems in Ontario.” Canadian Journal of Education 43(1): 229-257.
• Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Reaction or Reform? Subnational Evidence on P.R. Adoption from Canadian Cities.” Representation 56(1): 89-109. // Supplementary material
• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Are City Elections Unique? Perceptions of Electoral Cleavages and Social Sorting Across Levels of Government.” Electoral Studies 66: 1-8.
• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2020 “Municipalities in the Federation.” In Canadian Federalism: Performance, Effectiveness, and Legitimacy (4th Ed.), edited by Herman Bakvis and Grace Skogstad. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.

2019

• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Multilevel Governance from the Municipal Point of View.” Canadian Public Administration. 62(2): 270-293. // Data and replication files , Supplementary material.
  • Winner, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of Canadian Public Administration.
• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Which Policy Issues Matter in Canadian Municipalities? A Survey of Municipal Politicians” School of Public Policy Research Papers. 12: 1-26. (Refereed report).
• McGregor, R. Michael and Jack Lucas. 2019. “Who Has School Spirit? Explaining Voter Participation in Canadian School Board Elections.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 52(4): 923-936. // Data and replication files
• Peterson, Jacqueline, Jack Lucas, and Andrew Klain. 2019. “Cities, Places, and Provincial Policy Agendas.” Canadian Public Administration 62 (2): 249-269. // Data.
  • Honourable mention, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of Canadian Public Administration.
• Weijs, Cynthia, Sara Gobrail, Jack Lucas, Jennifer Zwicker, and Lindsay McLaren. 2019. “Identifying and critically examining government legislation relevant to children’s dental caries in Calgary, Alberta, Canada: a health inequities lens.” Journal of Public Health Dentistry 79(2): 137-146.

2013-2018

• Lucas, Jack. 2018. “Toward Delegation: Social Policy Centralization in Toronto, 1870-1929.” Journal of Policy History 30(2): 272-300.
• Lucas, Jack and Anthony Sayers. 2018. “Accountability, Responsiveness, and the Local Political Career in Calgary and Edmonton.” In Accountability and Responsiveness at the Municipal Level: Views from Canada, edited by Sandra Breux and Jerome Couture. Montreal/Kingston: McGill-Queen’s University Press.
• Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Patterns of Urban Governance: A Sequence Analysis of Long-Term Institutional Change in Six Canadian Cities.” Journal of Urban Affairs 39(1): 68-90. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Urban Governance and the American Political Development Approach.” Urban Affairs Review 53(2): 338-361.
• Lucas, Jack and Robert Vipond. 2017. “Back to the Future: Historical Political Science and the Promise of Canadian Political Development.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 50(1): 219-241.
• Sayers, Anthony and Jack Lucas. 2017. “Policy Responsiveness and Political Accountability in City Politics.” School of Public Policy Research Papers 10(4): 1-23. (Refereed report).
• Goodman, Nicole and Jack Lucas. 2016. “The Policy Priorities of Municipal Candidates in the 2014 Ontario Elections.” Canadian Journal of Urban Research 25(2): 35-47.
• Lucas, Jack. 2016. Fields of Authority: Special Purpose Governance in Ontario, 1815-2015. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How Ontario Hydro Went Local: The Creation of Rural Power Districts and the Central Ontario System.” Scientia Canadensis 37(1-2): 59-76.
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Local Governance and the Local Political Career: A Sample Dataset.” Canadian Public Administration 58(4): 605-617. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Berlin, Ontario in the Age of the ABC.” Urban History Review 41(2): 19-42.
• Lucas, Jack. 2013. “A Century of Political Science in Canada.” Journal of Canadian Studies 47(2): 89-118. [paper]